DELIVERY PLAN YEAR 7 ­ FEBRUARY 2006                                                                                                                                                                                              Appendix 1

OUTCOME AND MILESTONE UPDATE

 

Outcome Area:  Jobs and Business

 

Outcome W1:  Reduced level of unemployment

 

Baseline Data

Outcomes

Milestones

Progress / Comments

 

The levels of unemployment within the NDC area are 12.5%, compared with 5.3% for the District (figures relate to December 99 ­ revised using NOMIS).

 

By 2010 reduce the level of unemployment to the District average, and if possible to the regional average.

FT13

(FT references refer to Floor Targets in Appendix 1A)

 

Year 3:  narrow the gap between the NDC and District figures by 25%.

 

Year 7:  narrow the gap by 70%.

 

 

 

The unemployment rate in the NDC area in Sept 05 was 8.2%. The District rate in Sept 05 was 3.8%. The gap between the NDC and District levels has narrowed by 46.3%

 

Outcome W2:  Increased number of jobs in the travel to work area

 

Baseline Data

Outcomes

Milestones

Progress / Comments

 

There are currently 5100 jobs within the NDC area, increasing to 27,000 in the travel to work area.

 

Over the lifetime of the project to increase the number of jobs accessible to the New Deal area by 10%.

 

Year 1:  30 new jobs

 

Year 3:  150 new jobs

 

 

682  new jobs have been created in the area (as of Sept 2005).

 

 

Outcome W3:  Increased number of businesses in the area

 

Baseline Data

Outcomes

Milestones

Progress / Comments

 

There are currently 375 businesses within the NDC area.

 

Increase the number of businesses within the NDC area by 20% over the lifetime of the scheme.

FT12

 

Year 1:  10 new businesses

 

 

Year 3:  30 new businesses

81 new businesses have started up in or moved into the area since January 2000 (as of Sept 2005). 62 of these can be directly attributed to the New Deal for Business Project

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Outcome W4:  Increase economic activity rates in the Trident area

 

Baseline Data

Outcomes

Milestones

Progress / Comments

 

The economic activity rate in the Trident area is 42% (MORI Household Survey 2002), compared with 60.8% for the District (Labour Force Survey, NOMIS Jun-Aug 2002).

 

By 2010 reduce the gap between the rates to 12 percentage points.

FT13

 

Year 5:  reduce the gap to 16 percentage points

 

Year 8: reduce the gap to 14 percentage points

 

 

 

The Economic Activity Rate in the Trident area is 43% (MORI Household Survey 2004)

 

The Number of People in Paid Work went up from 30% to 36% (MORI Household Survey 2004)

 

Outcome W5:  Reduce the level of benefit dependency in the Trident area

 

Baseline Data

Outcomes

Milestones

Progress / Comments

 

The levels of Benefit Dependency in Trident area is 29.2% compared with the District average of 20.3%. Benefits (JSA IB IS)

 

 

Reduce the level of benefit dependency in the Trident area to the District average by 2010

 

Year 5: reduce the gap by 40%

 

Year 8:reduce the gap by 70%

 

By Sept 2005 the gap between   Trident and the District had closed by17%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Outcome W6:  Increase average household incomes in the Trident area

 

Baseline Data

Outcomes

Milestones

Progress / Comments

 

Average household income in the Trident area is £265 per week and in the District it is £398 per week (CACI 2000)

 

 

 

 

 

 

By 2010 increase average household income in the Trident area by 10% more than the District increase.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year 5:  increase average household income by 4% more than the District

 

Year 7:  increase average household income by 7% more than the District.

 

In 2005 average household income rose in the Trident area to £325 per week compared to the District average of £519 per week. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Outcome Area:  Crime and Community Safety

 

Outcome C1:  Reduced level of recorded crime

 

Baseline Data

Outcomes

Milestones

Progress / Comments

 

The level of recorded crime in the area is above the regional and national averages

(87.01% Trident Apr-Sept ¹01: 60.82% District).

 

By 2010 reduce the level of recorded crime to the District level and if possible to the West Yorkshire level.

FT11

 

Year 3:  Reduce the levels of recorded crime and narrow the gap between the NDC area and the District by 10%.

 

Year 5:  Reduce the gap by 40%.

 

Year 8:  Reduce the gap by 80%.

 

Gap between NDC and District narrowed by 100% (provisional: total crimes per 1000 of the population).  This figure compares the period Apr 2000-Sep 2001 to Apr 05-Sep 05.

 

Burglary (dwellings) decreased by 65% between Mar ­ Œ00 and Sept.-Feb¹05. The Gap has narrowed between the NDC and District by 84%.

 

 

 

 

Outcome C2:  Reduced fear of crime

 

Baseline Data

Outcomes

Milestones

Progress / Comments

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

58% of residents felt very/a bit unsafe walking alone in the area after dark

(MORI Household survey 2002)

compared with 33% Nationally

(British Crime Survey 2001)

 

70% of residents felt very/fairly worried about having their home broken into and something being stolen

(Meridien Household Survey 1999)

compared with 51% Nationally

(British Crime Survey 2001)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reduce the proportion of residents feeling unsafe outdoors to 45% by the end of the programme

 

 

 

Reduce the proportion of residents worried about burglary to 60%

 

Year2: 

 

 

Year 5:  reduce proportion of residents:

feeling unsafe outdoors below 55%

worrying about burglary below 65%

 

Year 8:  reduce proportion of residents:

feeling unsafe outdoors below 50%

worrying about burglary below 62%

 

 

21 CCTV cameras and 330 street lights installed and working.  Over 1,100 homes installed with improved security hardware.

4 Community Police, 8 PCSOs and 4 Neighbourhood Wardens patrol the area

 

46% of residents felt very/a bit unsafe walking alone in the area after dark

(MORI Household survey 2004)

 

 

47% of residents felt very/fairly worried about having their home broken into and something being stolen

 (MORI Household survey 2004, Prelim)

(61% MORI Household survey 2002)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Outcome C3:  Reduced vehicle crime

 

Baseline Data

Outcomes

Milestones

Progress / Comments

 

82% of car owners were concerned at the level of vehicle crime (household survey). 

737 vehicle related recorded crimes in New Deal area, 1999.

 

Vehicle crime per thousand population: 19.1% Trident area to 13.1% District (Apr-Sep Œ00/¹01).

 

Reduce the level of vehicular crime to the District level and, if possible, to West Yorkshire levels.

FT11

 

 

 

 

 

Year 3:  Narrow the gap between NDC area and District by 30%.

 

Year 5:  reduce the gap 50%.

 

Year 8:  reduce the gap 70%

 

Also to reduce the level of concerns using subsequent survey data as a measure.

 

 

Between Apr/Sep Œ00 and Apr 05/Sep ¹05 the gap between the levels in the Trident and the District areas has narrowed by 88% (per 1000 of population)

 

 

 

 

Outcome Area:  Housing and Environment

 

Outcome HE1:  Improved condition of the housing stock

Baseline data

Outcomes

Milestones

Progress / Comments
Fitness

16.6% of properties in the NDC area are unfit, compared with the average for the District of 10%.

 

Satisfaction

The 70% of householders were satisfied with their current accommodation

(Meridien Household Survey 1999)

Of those dissatisfied

·       59% of respondents felt that their home was in poor condition

·        35% complained of dampness

·       31% felt that the heating system was inadequate.

 

 

Prices

Average residential property sale price £24,432

(Trident area 2000)

(NB Trident area prices  fell 15% 1995-2000 against Bradford rise of 10%)

 

 

Empty homes

496 empty properties (434 private, 62 Council) in NDC area

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reduce the number of unfit properties to the District average, and to below that in the long term.

FT10

 

Improve residents satisfaction with own homes (based on household surveys)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Increase property values at same pace as District average

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reduce number of empty properties by 5% per annum and meet the District average rate by 2007

{District average  April 05 7%}

 

 

 

 

Year 1: 

Strategy for the future of public-sector stock agreed.  Consultation with public-sector tenants on strategy completed.

 

 

All privately owned homes in the area surveyed.

 

Report for the owners of all individual properties detailing condition and options for improvement where applicable produced.

 

Year 2:

Home maintenance advice and assistance initiated

 

Tool libraries for owner occupiers set up

 

Year 3: 

Area renewal study in lower Horton with view to declaration completed

 

 

 

 

Year 4:  halt the decline in property values.  Increase local confidence in the area (household survey).

 

Year 7:

 number of unfit properties reduced to 10%.

 

Year 10:

 if possible, number of unfit properties reduced to 7%.

 

 

 

Masterplan for Park Lane and Marshfields completed May 2001.

Council stock transfer agreed Mar 02.  Stock transferred February 2003.

 

Private Sector Housing Research was completed in May 2001.

 

The Private Sector Housing Strategy was completed in January 2002, based upon the research undertaken in Years 1 & 2.  

 

 

This service is being delivered via the One Stop Shop. Shop opened in April 2003.

 

The Warm, Dry & Safe and Home Improve schemes completed with 350 properties benefiting from the combined schemes.

 

Year 1 of Facelift plus scheme 135 properties improved 31 March 2004.

Year 2 192 properties improved 31 March 2005.

Year 3 155 properties improved 31 March 2006.

 

MORI Summer 2004 survey revealed 83% of owners satisfied with current accommodation.

 

Trident residential property prices up 118% (2000 to June 2005) against 87% District rise.

 

Survey of empty properties (summer 2002) indicates 223 empty private sector homes.

220 empty properties Summer 2003.

106 [4%} empty private sector properties Nov. 04. 100 empty Jan. 06

Outcome HE2:  Cleaner, safer environment

Baseline Data

Outcomes

Milestones

Progress/Comments

Sustainable Improvements

40% of residents believe litter and rubbish is a serious problem.

(Source: Mori 2002)

 

 

24% of residents believe vandalism and graffiti is a serious problem.

(Source: Mori 2002)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Routes and Movement

11 Personal Injury Accidents (PIA)

11 Child Personal Injury Accidents (5-15)

3 Infant Personal Injury Accidents (0-4)

(Source: BMDC Road Safety Unit)

 

35% of residents believe speed and volume of road traffic is a serious problem.

(Source: Mori 2002)

 

 

 

Open Space

29% of residents believe poor quality or lack of parks or open spaces is a serious problem.

(Source: Mori 2002)

 

44.4% of residents named lack of play areas as serious problem for area (Meridian Survey 1999)

 

Sustainable Improvements

Residents believing litter and rubbish to be a serious problem reduced to 25% over the lifetime of the programme

FT15

 

Residents believing vandalism and graffiti is a serious problem reduced to 15% over the lifetime of the programme

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Routes and Movement

Reduction in the number of PIAs, child and infant PIAs to the District average;

FT7

 

 

 

Residents believing speed and volume of road traffic to be a serious problem reduced to 30% over the lifetime of the programme

 

 

 

Open Space

Residents believing poor quality or lack of parks or open spaces is a serious problem reduced to 20%.

 

50% of residents living within a recognised walking distance of a new or improved play area. (English Partnerships ­ Urban Design Compendium for locally equipped play areas)

Sustainable Improvements

Masterplanning exercise completed for the New Deal area.   This includes an Open Space Strategy, Lighting Strategy and Routes and Movement Strategy.

 

Year 5; ³Green Team² established to tackle areas of environmental decay: litter, graffiti, fly-tipping, un-adopted streets, derelict open spaces etc

 

Year 5: ³Looking Good² campaign developed and implemented

 

Year 7 : Negotiations on mainstreaming completed

 

 

Routes and Movement

Year 3:  Completion of improvements to Manchester Road corridor. 

 

Year 5: Completion of the first phase of the Living Street (St Stephen¹s Road)

 

Year 5: Completion of the first phase of the traffic management improvements for Marshfields and Little Horton.

 

 

 

Open Space

Year 5:  creation or improvements to 9 public open spaces / play areas.

 

Sustainable Improvements

34% of residents believe litter and rubbish is a serious problem.

(Source: Mori 2004)

 

17% of residents believe vandalism and graffiti is a serious problem.

(Source: Mori 2004)

 

The Green Team continues until 2007.

The third annual Garden Competition will be in summer 2006.

The Crime and Grime links between the Wardens, Green Team and Bradford Council remain strong

 

 

Routes and Movement

A programme of casualty reduction initiatives continues including the provision of  new pedestrian facilities.  

 

Implementation of the Living Street is ongoing.

 

29% of residents believe speed and volume of road traffic is a serious problem. (Source: Mori 2004)

 

 

Open Space

29% of residents believe poor quality or lack of parks or open spaces is a serious problem. (Source: Mori 2004)

 

The completion of 9 public open spaces indicates progress towards improving the outdoor environment.  

 

Parkside Park will be completed in summer 2006.

 

Outcome Area:   Health and Social Care

 

Outcome H1:  Improved health of families, babies and young children

Low Birth Weight Babies

Number of babies with low birth weights 126, compared with District average of 104 per 1000.

(Source to be identified)

 

Number of babies born with low birth weights between 1997-2001 was 11.5%: increase of 1.7%

(Source: National Evaluation Report 2003)

 

 

Oral Health

Decayed, missing and filled teeth mean 3.41 (National Mean 2.00)

(Baselines to be clarified)

 

Oral health of Bradford 5 year olds 2001/2002

Decayed , Missing and Filled Teeth

 

Mean

dmft

NDC area

Mean

dmft

Bradford District

1998

3.46

2.64

2000

3.41

2.51

(Source: Bradford District Care Trust, 2003))

 

 

 

 

 

 

Immunisation

Percentage uptake of immunisation at 2 yrs old (Sep 00)

 

Pet

HiB

MMR

NDC

89.4

87.5

80.6

District

94.1

93.3

87.5

(Source to be identified)

 

Teenage Conceptions

Data currently being researched.

 

 

 

Track changes in number of children with low birth weights at District average to ensure gap does not widen.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reduction in decayed, missing and filled teeth to close gap between Bradford district average.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Uptake of childhood immunisation programme at District level. To track number of children immunised to ensure progress maintained.

 

 

 

 

Reduce the number of under 18 conceptions by 50% by 2010.

FT5

 

Year 1:Working with PCT and Community Nursing Service to address lifestyle priorities within the NDC area.

 

Year 2:Healthy Living Team developed

 

Year 3: Healthy Living Team established.

 

Year4: Feasibility study for the fluoridation of school milk completed by March 2003

 

Year 5: Fluoridation of school milk to be offered to children by September 2004.